Posts in PollSmart MR Polls
Harris Leads Trump by Slim 3% Margin as 2024 Election Mirrors 2016 Dynamics

Our 2024 national poll shows a tight race with Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by just 3% among likely voters, mirroring 2016's close contest. Demographics reveal Harris gains from female voters, while Trump leads with older, white voters. Congressional races show a similar split. Conducted by Targoz Market Research October 30-November 1, 2024.

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Why Did The 2020 Presidential Polls Suffer Their Worst Performance In Decades? Bots and Fraudulent Respondents

Why Did The 2020 Presidential Polls Suffer Their Worst Performance In Decades? Consistent exaggerated support for the Democratic candidates during Presidential election years results from elevated fraudulent and bot activity with online surveys and polling.

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Final 2020 U.S. Election Battleground Polls: Florida, Minnesota, Michigan, and Pennsylvania

Final 2020 U.S. Election Battle Ground Polls: Florida, Minnesota, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. Our final polls before Tuesday’s election show Joe Biden with a lead across four key battleground states.

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Biden Holds Narrow Lead Over President Trump

Among likely voters, Biden’s lead shrinks to 1.2%, which is similar to 2016 when Hilary Clinton won the popular vote by 2.1%. Biden’s lead among likely voters narrowly trails Clinton’s 2016 popular vote margin. Biden leads by 10 points in urban/suburban areas of the country while Trump is up 40 points in exurban markets. Also, Trump is up nearly 7 points in the swing states, which account for almost a quarter of likely voters in this poll.

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